Which "sure thing" Oscar nominee is most likely to lose at Sunday's Academy Awards?

This poll is now closed. Final results are below.

Best Director: Martin Scorsese, The Departed	50%
Best Actress: Helen Mirren, The Queen	8%
Best Actor: Forest Whitaker, The Last King of Scotland	8%
Best Supporting Actress: Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls	0%
Best Supporting Actor: Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls	33%

Total votes: 12.